UPDATED Jun. 6, 2024, at 10:05 PM
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Who’s ahead in all?
An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
KEY
ESTIMATE
95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE
Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.
| Dates | Samplei SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS | Pollster | Sponsor | Result | Net result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Datesi SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS | Pollster | Result |
Polls ending June 4, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
June 4-5 | 1,000 | RV | June 4-5 1,000RV | Biden | 38% | Biden | 38% | Biden 38% Trump 44% Kennedy 6% Stein 1% West 1% | 44% | Trump | Trump | +6 | |||
38% Biden 44% Trump 6% Kennedy 1% Stein 1% West | |||||||||||||||
June 4-5 | 1,000 | RV | June 4-5 1,000RV | Biden | 50% | Biden | 50% | Biden 50% Trump 50% | 50% | Trump | Even | ||||
June 3, 2024
President: general election, West Virginia, 2024
June 4 | 464 | LV | June 4 464LV | Biden | 28% | Biden | 28% | Biden 28% Trump 55% Stein 2% | 55% | Trump | Trump | +27 | |||
28% Biden 55% Trump 2% Stein | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, 2024AVG.
June 2-4 | 1,566 | RV | June 2-4 1,566RV | The Economist | Biden | 42% | Biden | 42% | Biden 42% Trump 42% Kennedy 3% West 1% Stein 1% | 42% | Trump | Even | |||
42% Biden 42% Trump 3% Kennedy 1% West 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
May23-June4 | 1,775 | LV | May23-June4 1,775LV | Biden | 42% | Biden | 42% | Biden 42% Trump 45% Kennedy 13% | 45% | Trump | Trump | +4 | |||
42% Biden 45% Trump 13% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
May23-June4 | 1,671 | LV | May23-June4 1,671LV | Biden | 48% | Biden | 48% | Biden 48% Trump 52% | 52% | Trump | Trump | +4 | |||
June 2, 2024
President: general election, Michigan, 2024AVG.
June 3 | 710 | LV | June 3 710LV | Michigan News Source | Biden | 45% | Biden | 45% | Biden 45% Trump 46% Kennedy 3% West 1% Stein 1% | 46% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
45% Biden 46% Trump 3% Kennedy 1% West 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
June 3 | 710 | LV | June 3 710LV | Michigan News Source | Biden | 48% | Biden | 48% | Biden 48% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
President: general election, Arizona, 2024AVG.
June 1-3 | 1,095 | RV | June 1-3 1,095RV | Fox News | Biden | 41% | Biden | 41% | Biden 41% Trump 46% Kennedy 8% West 1% Stein 1% | 46% | Trump | Trump | +5 | ||
41% Biden 46% Trump 8% Kennedy 1% West 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
June 1-3 | 1,095 | RV | June 1-3 1,095RV | Fox News | Biden | 46% | Biden | 46% | Biden 46% Trump 51% | 51% | Trump | Trump | +5 | ||
President: general election, Nevada, 2024AVG.
June 1-3 | 1,069 | RV | June 1-3 1,069RV | Fox News | Biden | 40% | Biden | 40% | Biden 40% Trump 45% Kennedy 7% West 2% Stein 2% | 45% | Trump | Trump | +5 | ||
40% Biden 45% Trump 7% Kennedy 2% West 2% Stein | |||||||||||||||
June 1-3 | 1,069 | RV | June 1-3 1,069RV | Fox News | Biden | 45% | Biden | 45% | Biden 45% Trump 50% | 50% | Trump | Trump | +5 | ||
President: general election, Florida, 2024AVG.
June 1-3 | 1,075 | RV | June 1-3 1,075RV | Fox News | Biden | 40% | Biden | 40% | Biden 40% Trump 47% Kennedy 7% West 2% Stein 1% | 47% | Trump | Trump | +7 | ||
40% Biden 47% Trump 7% Kennedy 2% West 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
June 1-3 | 1,075 | RV | June 1-3 1,075RV | Fox News | Biden | 46% | Biden | 46% | Biden 46% Trump 50% | 50% | Trump | Trump | +4 | ||
President: general election, Virginia, 2024
June 1-3 | 1,107 | RV | June 1-3 1,107RV | Fox News | Biden | 42% | Biden | 42% | Biden 42% Trump 41% Kennedy 9% West 2% Stein 2% | 41% | Trump | Biden | +1 | ||
42% Biden 41% Trump 9% Kennedy 2% West 2% Stein | |||||||||||||||
June 1-3 | 1,107 | RV | June 1-3 1,107RV | Fox News | Biden | 48% | Biden | 48% | Biden 48% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Even | |||
President: general election, North Carolina, 2024AVG.
May31-June3 | 1,332 | RV | May31-June3 1,332RV | Biden | 43% | Biden | 43% | Biden 43% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +5 |
President: general election, Georgia, 2024AVG.
May30-June3 | 1,203 | RV | May30-June3 1,203RV | Biden | 37% | Biden | 37% | Biden 37% Trump 43% Kennedy 8% West 3% Oliver 3% Stein 2% | 43% | Trump | Trump | +6 | |||
37% Biden 43% Trump 8% Kennedy 3% West 3% Oliver 2% Stein | |||||||||||||||
May30-June3 | 1,203 | RV | May30-June3 1,203RV | Biden | 44% | Biden | 44% | Biden 44% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +5 | |||
June 1, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
May31-June2 | 10,404 | RV | May31-June2 10,404RV | Biden | 43% | Biden | 43% | Biden 43% Trump 44% | 44% | Trump | Trump | +1 |
President: general election, North Carolina, 2024AVG.
May29-June2 | 600 | LV | May29-June2 600LV | American Greatness | Biden | 32% | Biden | 32% | Biden 32% Trump 44% Kennedy 9% West 3% Stein 2% | 44% | Trump | Trump | +12 | ||
32% Biden 44% Trump 9% Kennedy 3% West 2% Stein | |||||||||||||||
May29-June2 | 600 | LV | May29-June2 600LV | American Greatness | Biden | 41% | Biden | 41% | Biden 41% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +8 | ||
May 30, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
May 31 | 2,200 | RV | May 31 2,200RV | Biden | 45% | Biden | 45% | Biden 45% Trump 44% | 44% | Trump | Biden | +1 | |||
May 30-31 | 5,893 | A | May 30-31 5,893A | The 19th | Biden | 30% | Biden | 30% | Biden 30% Trump 34% | 34% | Trump | Trump | +4 | ||
May 30-31 | 2,556 | A | May 30-31 2,556A | Reuters | Biden | 34% | Biden | 34% | Biden 34% Trump 33% Kennedy 10% | 33% | Trump | Biden | +1 | ||
34% Biden 33% Trump 10% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
May 30-31 | 2,135 | RV | May 30-31 2,135RV | Reuters | Biden | 39% | Biden | 39% | Biden 39% Trump 37% Kennedy 10% | 37% | Trump | Biden | +2 | ||
39% Biden 37% Trump 10% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
May 30-31 | 2,556 | A | May 30-31 2,556A | Reuters | Biden | 36% | Biden | 36% | Biden 36% Trump 36% | 36% | Trump | Even | |||
May 30-31 | 2,135 | RV | May 30-31 2,135RV | Reuters | Biden | 41% | Biden | 41% | Biden 41% Trump 39% | 39% | Trump | Biden | +2 | ||
May 30-31 | 1,006 | RV | May 30-31 1,006RV | Forbes | Biden | 41% | Biden | 41% | Biden 41% Trump 43% Kennedy 13% West 2% Stein 2% | 43% | Trump | Trump | +2 | ||
41% Biden 43% Trump 13% Kennedy 2% West 2% Stein | |||||||||||||||
May 30-31 | 1,006 | RV | May 30-31 1,006RV | Forbes | Biden | 49% | Biden | 49% | Biden 49% Trump 51% | 51% | Trump | Trump | +2 | ||
May 29-31 | 1,675 | RV | May 29-31 1,675RV | Issues & Insights | Biden | 38% | Biden | 38% | Biden 38% Trump 38% Kennedy 10% Stein 2% West 1% | 38% | Trump | Even | |||
38% Biden 38% Trump 10% Kennedy 2% Stein 1% West | |||||||||||||||
May 29-31 | 1,675 | RV | May 29-31 1,675RV | Issues & Insights | Biden | 41% | Biden | 41% | Biden 41% Trump 41% | 41% | Trump | Even | |||
President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024AVG.
May 30-31 | 290 | LV | May 30-31 290LV | Biden | 40% | Biden | 40% | Biden 40% Trump 35% Kennedy 12% | 35% | Trump | Biden | +5 | |||
40% Biden 35% Trump 12% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
May 30-31 | 338 | RV | May 30-31 338RV | Biden | 38% | Biden | 38% | Biden 38% Trump 31% Kennedy 13% | 31% | Trump | Biden | +7 | |||
38% Biden 31% Trump 13% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
May 30-31 | 290 | LV | May 30-31 290LV | Biden | 40% | Biden | 40% | Biden 40% Trump 41% | 41% | Trump | Trump | +1 | |||
May 30-31 | 338 | RV | May 30-31 338RV | Biden | 40% | Biden | 40% | Biden 40% Trump 38% | 38% | Trump | Biden | +2 | |||
President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024AVG.
May 30-31 | 923 | LV | May 30-31 923LV | Biden | 43% | Biden | 43% | Biden 43% Trump 42% Kennedy 7% | 42% | Trump | Biden | +1 | |||
43% Biden 42% Trump 7% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
May 30-31 | 1,008 | RV | May 30-31 1,008RV | Biden | 41% | Biden | 41% | Biden 41% Trump 39% Kennedy 8% | 39% | Trump | Biden | +2 | |||
41% Biden 39% Trump 8% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
May 30-31 | 923 | LV | May 30-31 923LV | Biden | 45% | Biden | 45% | Biden 45% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Trump | +2 | |||
May 30-31 | 1,008 | RV | May 30-31 1,008RV | Biden | 43% | Biden | 43% | Biden 43% Trump 45% | 45% | Trump | Trump | +2 | |||
President: general election, Michigan, 2024AVG.
May 30-31 | 636 | LV | May 30-31 636LV | Biden | 44% | Biden | 44% | Biden 44% Trump 43% Kennedy 8% | 43% | Trump | Biden | +1 | |||
44% Biden 43% Trump 8% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
May 30-31 | 722 | RV | May 30-31 722RV | Biden | 41% | Biden | 41% | Biden 41% Trump 39% Kennedy 11% | 39% | Trump | Biden | +2 | |||
41% Biden 39% Trump 11% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
May 30-31 | 636 | LV | May 30-31 636LV | Biden | 47% | Biden | 47% | Biden 47% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Biden | +1 | |||
May 30-31 | 722 | RV | May 30-31 722RV | Biden | 45% | Biden | 45% | Biden 45% Trump 45% | 45% | Trump | Even | ||||
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Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Polling averages by G. Elliott Morris. Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Andrea Jones-Rooy, Irena Li, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan, Geoffrey Skelley and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Editing by Sarah Frostenson, Nathaniel Rakich, Kaleigh Rogers and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux. Copy editing by Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Alex Kimball, Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan, Maya Sweedler and Curtis Yee.
